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  2. Dec 7, 2024NFL Week 14 Best Bet: Los Angeles Rams +3.5. Los Angeles Chargers at Kansas City Chiefs (-4) It's the same story with Kansas City, which has won 14 consecutive one-score games. The Chiefs are 2-0 in AFC West home games, but each of their recent two-point wins against the Broncos and Raiders came with a lot of luck.
  3. Dec 9, 2024The Lions controlled their game vs. the Bears, but didn't cover in their 23-20 victory. Still, I'm not willing to fade them here at the short number, especially as they mostly dominated their first meeting in a 24-14 win just over a month ago in Week 9 (leading 24-7 before a garbage TD). And that was in Green Bay. Hard pass.
  4. Dec 6, 2024I saw one prominent analytics guy on X call them "the luckiest team in the league" from a post-game win expectancy standpoint. This creates value betting against them. I project the Chiefs as just 2.5-point favorites in this game, so getting above the key number of 3 in the NFL is massive. ... NFL Week 14 Best Bet: Chargers +4 (Play to +3.5 ...
  5. Dec 9, 2024Week 14 NFL Best Bets: I'll lay the 4 points with San Francisco to get a win on Sunday. LA Chargers at Kansas City. Sunday, 8:20 p.m. ET. The Chiefs continue to take everyone's best shot week-in and week-out yet continue to survive. A lot of bettors might use the words "lucky" to describe their recent fortunes.
  6. Dec 7, 2024NFL Week 14 Best Bet: Buffalo Bills +3.5. Los Angeles Chargers at Kansas City Chiefs (-4; 43) The Kansas City Chiefs keep finding ways to win as they did last Friday, escaping with a 19-17 victory over the Raiders. Kansas City is 0-6 ATS in their last six games but five of those spreads were a touchdown or more.
  7. Dec 6, 2024The Packers and Lions met in Green Bay on November 3rd, when Detroit earned a 24-14 win as a 2.5-point road favorite. It's a little interesting that the spread is only one point different at Ford Field. I do like what we have seen from Green Bay lately, but the numbers say Detroit is better on both sides of the ball.
  8. Dec 5, 2024NFL DK Betting Splits system #14: Quite the opposite of #9, the magic mark for a super majority on the handle for betting Overs was 64% or higher, and this group performed miserably in 2022-24 with a record of 121-153 (44.2%). To me, this has been a long-standing belief, but when the Over looks too obvious, it usually loses.
  9. Dec 6, 2023Bet: Rams +7.5 (-120 - Play to +7) Denver Broncos at Los Angeles Chargers - 4:25 pm ET. The Chargers only scored six points in a win over the Patriots last week, but I'm expecting them to bounce back this week. Denver is just 31st in the league in Defensive DVOA this season, and the team is 28th against the pass and 31st against the run.
  10. Dec 9, 2023I bet Green Bay to win the NFC North (which is unlikely to happen) and played Over its win total of 7.5 (which is now likely to happen). Still, the recent hype is a little over the top. The Packers are coming off consecutive victories over division leaders, beginning with an upset of Detroit on Thanksgiving, and heading to New York to face the ...
  11. Dec 7, 2023VSiN Analytics NFL Week 14 Report. A look ahead to Week 14 games from Michael Lombardi. NFL Betting Spilts update for Week 14. Sunday Night Football: Eagles vs. Cowboys preview, picks, predictions . NFL Week 14 Best Bets. NFL Picks At A Glance. Zachary Cohen. Dave Tuley. Adam Burke. Tyler Shoemaker. Steve Makinen. Wes Reynolds. Matt Youmans ...

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