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  2. allianz-trade.com

    In 2025, we expect Spain to mark its fifth year of GDP growth overperformance compared to the Eurozone average, but the pace will moderate: +1.8% in 2025 and +2.0% in 2026. Inflation was on the rise in the last quarter of 2024 after falling to its lowest level since the beginning of 2021 in September 2024.
  3. allianz-trade.com

    Wereldwijde groei van 2,8% in 2025-2026, met een vertraging in geavanceerde economieën en een sterke groei in opkomende markten. Handels- en politieke spanningen, vooral in de Verenigde Staten en de eurozone, wegen zwaar op de stabiliteit van de wereldeconomie. Het aantal faillissementen blijft stijgen, met 2% in 2025.
  4. allianz-trade.com

    Steady (not stellar) global growth ahead at +2.8% until 2026, in line with the long-term average. The US economy is slowing but will remain the main support to the global economy in 2024. Momentum is gradually building in Europe, though Germany will remain the exception, with the economy only exiting recession by the end of 2024.
  5. allianz-trade.com

    Steady (not stellar) global growth ahead at +2.8% until 2026, in line with the long-term average. The US economy is slowing, but will remain the main support to the global economy in 2024. Momentum is gradually building in Europe, though Germany will remain the exception, with the economy only exiting recession by the end of 2024.
  6. allianz-trade.com

    Nov 28, 2024President-elect Donald Trump's victory in the US election has not significantly impacted the country's growth forecasts - the economy is projected to grow 1.9% in 2025 and 2.3% in 2026. Strong household savings and solid corporate finances are helping the US aim for a "soft landing", avoiding a severe recession.
  7. allianz-trade.com

    Bankruptcy rates in the Netherlands will remain the worst in the Eurozone over the coming years. An increase of +35% is forecast for 2024. For 2025 and 2026, we forecast a decrease in the Netherlands of -2% and -1% respectively. Nowhere else in the euro zone is this decline so slight. Record figure in Belgium in 2024
  8. allianz-trade.com

    The INE's preliminary GDP data showed a +0.3% q/q growth in Q3, surpassing the Eurozone average (-0.1%). We expect GDP to have grown by +2.4% in 2023, and to grow by +1.5% and +1.8% in 2024 and 2025, respectively. Throughout the forecast period, Spain's economic activity will largely be driven by domestic demand.
  9. allianz-trade.com

    Dec 15, 2023News & Insights. Economic Insights. Global Economic Outlook 2023-25: Looking back, looking forward; Global Economic Outlook 2023-25: Looking back, looking forward 15 December 2023 Download the report. Download the presentation. Executive Summary. Since our last quarterly economic update in September, growth momentum has been weakening but ...
  10. allianz-trade.com

    We expect global inflation to fall to 4.3% in 2024, -2pps from 2023 levels, but to remain above 3% in 2025. In the short run, commodity prices, notably energy, will bring volatility. Moreover, wage growth will bite corporate profitability, notably in Germany and the UK, but a spiral should be off the cards, given the sluggishness in growth.
  11. allianz-trade.com

    Dec 12, 2024News & Insights. Economic Insights; Economic Insights. Jan 16, 2025 What to Watch 16 January 2025 US bond markets bracing for inauguration, UK's Reeves moment (the sequel) and China upgrades policy mix to counter potential tariffs ... What to Watch 10 January 2025 2025 capital market themes, riding the China-Europe train and energy crisis in ...

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