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  1. ncbi.nlm.nih.gov

    National Center for Biotechnology Information

    https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov › pmc › articles › PMC10843689

    Dec 12, 2023Drawing cohort profiles and cohort forecasts from grids of age-period data is common practice in demography. In this research note, we: (1) show how demographic measures artificially fluctuate when calculated from the diagonals of age-period rates because of timing and cohort size bias, (2) estimate the magnitude of these biases, and (3) illustrate how prediction intervals for cohort ...
  2. pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov

    Dec 1, 2023Drawing cohort profiles and cohort forecasts from grids of age-period data is common practice in demography. In this research note, we (1) show how demographic measures artificially fluctuate when calculated from the diagonals of age-period rates because of timing and cohort-size bias, (2) estimate the magnitude of these biases, and (3) illustrate how prediction intervals for cohort indicators ...
  3. Was this helpful?
  4. researchgate.net

    Drawing cohort profiles and cohort forecasts from grids of age-period data is common practice in demography. In this research note, we: (1) estimate the bias in the cohort TFR and life ...
  5. The Dangers of Drawing Cohort Profiles From Period Data: A Research Note Alyson A van Raalte, Ugofilippo Basellini, Carlo Giovanni Camarda, Marília ... Myrskylä. The Dangers of Drawing Cohort Profiles From Period Data: A Research Note. Demography, 2023, 60 (6), pp.1689-1698. ￿10.1215/00703370-11067917￿. ￿hal-04318716￿ ... The Dangers ...
  6. researchportal.helsinki.fi

    Drawing cohort profiles and cohort forecasts from grids of age-period data is common practice in demography. In this research note, we: (1) estimate the bias in the cohort TFR and life expectancies calculated from such data, and (2) demonstrate that cohort Lee-Carter forecasts drawn from an age-period grid have implausible prediction intervals, especially when drawn from the upper and lower ...
  7. europepmc.org

    Nov 15, 2023The Dangers of Drawing Cohort Profiles From Period Data: A Research Note. ... This website requires cookies, and the limited processing of your personal data in order to function. ... The Dangers of Drawing Cohort Profiles From Period Data: A Research Note.
  8. researchgate.net

    Drawing cohort profiles and cohort forecasts from grids of age-period data is common practice in demography. In this research note, we: (1) estimate the bias in the cohort TFR and life expectancies
  9. helda.helsinki.fi

    Drawing cohort profiles and cohort forecasts from grids of age-period data is common practice in demography. In this research note, we (1) show how demographic measures artificially fluctuate when calculated from the diagonals of age-period rates because of timing and cohort-size bias, (2) estimate the magnitude of these biases, and (3) illustrate how prediction intervals for cohort ...
  10. pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov

    van Raalte et al. (2023) alerted demographers to the potential dangers of calculating cohort measures from the "diagonals" of gridded age-period (AP) data. In the case of cohort fertility, however, a minor change to the estimation procedure can mitigate the trend and cohort size biases that the authors identify.
  11. The Dangers of Drawing Cohort Proles From Period Data: ... and Cities of Helsinki, Vantaa, and Espoo; and the Euro pean Union (ERC Synergy, BIOSFER, 101071773). The views and opin ions expressed are, how ever, those of the authors only and do not nec es sar ily reect those of the Euro pean Union or the Euro pean Research Council. Neither the ...

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